Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Athletic
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
110 Cal St. Bakersfield 100.0%   15   21 - 8 11 - 3 21 - 8 11 - 3 +3.9      -1.3 201 +5.2 47 68.8 207 +2.8 129 +2.7 3
112 New Mexico St. 0.0%   21 - 10 13 - 1 21 - 10 13 - 1 +3.6      -1.3 200 +4.9 51 64.5 304 +2.4 135 +11.0 1
134 Grand Canyon 0.0%   23 - 6 11 - 3 23 - 6 11 - 3 +2.1      +0.5 162 +1.6 126 71.5 135 +6.5 91 +3.2 2
253 UMKC 0.0%   9 - 19 4 - 10 9 - 19 4 - 10 -5.5      -1.6 208 -3.9 277 66.7 261 -7.3 277 -13.1 7
282 Utah Valley 0.0%   9 - 18 6 - 8 9 - 18 6 - 8 -7.9      -3.3 249 -4.7 295 83.7 7 -8.7 290 -7.4 5
292 Seattle 0.0%   12 - 15 7 - 7 12 - 15 7 - 7 -8.6      -7.6 329 -1.0 196 66.2 277 -6.9 270 -4.9 4
347 UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0%   5 - 22 4 - 10 5 - 22 4 - 10 -15.9      -7.2 324 -8.7 345 68.9 202 -14.0 336 -10.8 6
348 Chicago St. 0.0%   1 - 28 0 - 14 1 - 28 0 - 14 -16.2      -9.5 339 -6.7 327 73.8 90 -23.2 351 -25.9 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Cal St. Bakersfield 2.0 100.0
New Mexico St. 1.0 100.0
Grand Canyon 2.0 100.0
UMKC 6.0 100.0
Utah Valley 5.0 100.0
Seattle 4.0 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 6.0 100.0
Chicago St. 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Cal St. Bakersfield 11 - 3 100.0
New Mexico St. 13 - 1 100.0
Grand Canyon 11 - 3 100.0
UMKC 4 - 10 100.0
Utah Valley 6 - 8 100.0
Seattle 7 - 7 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 4 - 10 100.0
Chicago St. 0 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Cal St. Bakersfield
New Mexico St. 100.0% 100.0
Grand Canyon
UMKC
Utah Valley
Seattle
UT Rio Grande Valley
Chicago St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Cal St. Bakersfield 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.1 11.5 88.4 0.1
New Mexico St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Cal St. Bakersfield 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 7.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Mexico St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 7.7% 0.1 92.3 7.7
Sweet Sixteen 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0